Nifty December 2018

Markets may eventually be bearish by end of the month

1 Dec 2018 - Indian stock markets may show volatility in first week of December. Second week may witness bullish trend. From third week onward, markets may enter bearish mode anytime and may stay bearish until end of the month.


Nifty November 2018

Markets may be bullish in first half of November and bearish after that

29 Oct 2018 - Indian stock markets are expected to be bullish in first half of November 2018. In second half of the month, markets may loose this positive trend and enter bearish mode.


Nifty October 2018

Bulls and bears may balance next month

24 Sep 2018 - Our last prediction stated bearish last week of September 2018. Indian stock markets may depict bullish trend in first half of October 2018 followed by bearish phase in second half of the month.


Nifty September 2018

Markets may be bullish for 3 weeks, bearish in last week

30 Aug 2018 - Indian stock markets may continue to depict bullish trend for first 3 weeks of September. Last week of September may be bearish.


Nifty August 2018

Nifty50 may witness bearish trend

31 July 2018 - The recent upmove of Nifty50 is supported by few stocks that are at (or around) 52-week high. Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 are much below their 52-week highs.

We are expecting that markets may depict bearish trend until end of August 2018.


Nifty 28 June 2018

Nifty50 may witness bearish trend

28 June 2018 - In our last prediction, we mentioned that Indian stock markets may witness positive momentum from 3rd week of April until end of June. Despite correction witnessed in mid-cap (Nifty Midcap 100) and small-cap (Nifty Small Cap 100), Nifty50 maintained upward momentum. We also saw that Nifty50 went back to 10,430 in last week of May, but bounced back to high of 10,856.

We now expect markets to witness bearish trend. In our next post, we shall publish the period of bearish trend.


Nifty April to June 2018

Indian stock market may be bullish until end of June 2018

13 April 2018 - Our last prediction was for a bearish trend until mid-April. Nifty reduced to 10,000 levels after which we have seen some rise. We expect that stock market may witness upmove from next week until end of June 2018.

Amongst stocks, we may see positive movement for Bajaj Finserv Ltd. and Avanti Feeds Ltd. Avanti Feeds Ltd. may witness upmove from the month of May.


Nifty March to April 2018

Markets may be bearish until mid-April 2018

09 March 2018 - Indian stock markets may depict bearish trend until mid-April 2018.

In our previous prediction, markets were expected to depict bullish trend. Nifty50 went up 4.6% in 12 trading sessions until 29th January followed by a correction. We expect market to continue its bear trend until mid-April 2018.


Nifty January to March 2018

Markets may be bullish until first week of March 2018

11 January 2018 - Indian stock markets may be bullish until first week of March 2018, particularly from second half of next week.

In our last prediction, markets were expected to be bearish anytime from last week of November until end of December 2017. Nifty50 declined from 10,389 to 10,044 in 9 trading sessions. Further, even after bouncing back to 10,322 (in 3 trading days), it went down to 10,193 in 2 trading sessions. After this, market showcased bullish trend. All data is calculated on Nifty50 close value.


Nifty December 2017

Markets may be bearish in the month of December 2017

27 Nov 2017 - Our last prediction was that markets may witness bullish trend in first 3 weeks of November 2017. Nifty50 made new high of 10,490.45 in first 4 trading sessions. Further, it made a low of 10,094 and then retraced back to 10,362.25, earning 2.64% in second half of November (until 24th November). In conclusion, Nifty50 made net of 0.53% between 1st Nov and 24th Nov. All data is calculated on Nifty50 close value.

Indian stock markets may witness bearish trend from this week until end of December 2017.


Nifty November 2017

Markets are expected to continue bullish trend for next 3 weeks

1 Nov 2017 - Indian stock markets may continue the bullish trend for next 3 weeks.

Our last prediction was that markets would witness bearish trend after early second week of October. This went against the market and Nifty 50 rose by 3.5% in 15 trading sessions.

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Nifty October 2017

Bears may dominate the market from 10th October until end of this month

9 Oct 2017 - Nifty50 has closed positive on all days, except one, ever since we published on 25th Sep that markets may be bullish between last 2-3 trading sessions of September and early second week of October. Nifty50 has earned 2.5% in 6 trading sessions. This is calculated on Nifty close value.

We've seen Nifty50 crossing 10,000 in early trade today. We now expect markets to witness bearish trend anytime from 10th October onwards. This trend may continue until end of October 2017.


Nifty September-October 2017

Markets may be bullish for next fortnight

25 Sep 2017 - Our last prediction stated that markets may be bearish in second half of September until its derivative expiry contract. Indian stock markets have witnessed more than 2% fall in last 2 trading sessions. Nifty50 has descended 2.1% in 6 trading sessions, since we published our prediction. This is calculated on Nifty close value.

Our next prediction is that markets may witness uptrend anytime this week, particularly second half of the week. This may continue for a fortnight.


Nifty September (Second-half) 2017

Markets may be bearish until expiry of September derivative contracts

15 September 2017 – We had predicted markets to be bullish in first half of September (https://goo.gl/YzT7vy) despite rising geopolitical concerns across the globe. Nifty50 was only 5 points short to its all-time high and earned 1.7% in 12 trading sessions. This is calculated on Nifty close value.

Though Nifty50 and BSE Sensex did not correct as much, the overall trend of the market was bearish with Nifty 50 retracing back from all-time high of 10,137.85 to today's close of 9,917.90.

We expect Indian stock markets to witness bearish trend until the expiry of September derivative contracts.


Nifty September (First-half) 2017

Indian stock markets may be bullish until mid-September 

31 August 2017 – We had predicted that markets may depict distinctly bearish trend until end of August (https://goo.gl/z4H3uu) which was against the overall bullish investor sentiment.

Though Nifty50 and BSE Sensex did not correct as much, the overall trend of the market was bearish with Nifty 50 retracing back from all-time high of 10,137.85 to today's close of 9,917.90.

We now expect markets to witness bullish trend until mid September.


Nifty July and August 2017

Indian stock markets may depict noticeably bearish trend until August end 

12 July 2017 - We expect the stock markets to be considerably bearish until end of August.

In May end, the street expectation was for the bull run to continue. However, our prediction (https://goo.gl/gbKdWS) was for volatile markets with bearish undertone between June and mid-July. Nifty50 touched a low of 9,448.75 and high of 9830.05, depicting a range of approx. 380 points.

Our penultimate prediction of bull run between last week of April and end of May despite consolidation between mid-March and April (https://goo.gl/zJgg7z) earned 5.2% in approx. 5 weeks. Our prediction for bullish trend from last week of April until end of May has come true despite consolidation to slightly bearish trend observed between mid-March and 3rd week of April.


Nifty June and July 2017

Markets may be bearish from now until mid-July 

29 May 2017 – Our latest prediction for bullish trend from last week of April until end of May has come true despite consolidation to slightly bearish trend observed between mid-March and 3rd week of April.

We are expecting markets to witness bearish trend from now until mid-July 2017 with some volatility in the indices.

Our last prediction for bullish Nifty50 has earned 5.2% in approximately 5 weeks.

Our return on Nifty50 predictions has yielded 20.4% return between 1 July 2016 and 26 May 2017. This is calculated on Nifty close value.


Nifty April and May 2017

Markets are expected to witness bullish trend from last week of April until end of May 2017 

17 April 2017 – Indian stock markets (as indicated by BSE Sensex and Nifty 50) are expected to be bullish after 4-5 trading sessions. This bullish trend may continue for the month of May 2017.

In our last prediction published on 9th March, we expected market to be bearish until mid-April. This bearish/consolidation trend is expected to continue until this week. Though we witnessed both positive and negative news at the economy level; markets remained range bound as predicted.

State election results, series of GST approvals and high liquidity pumped by FII/FPI investments in equity were amongst the major positives. Monthly net equity FII/FPI investments have been highest in last 15 years; to the extent of Rs. 30,906 crs. in March 2017 (Source: NSDL). Despite these, markets failed to continue momentum as witnessed in first two months of 2017.

Geopolitical risks, farm loan waiver in UP for small & marginal farmers and restrictions on H1B visas were amongst the negatives for our economy.

Our return on Nifty 50 predictions has yielded 15% return between July 2016 and today. This is calculated on Nifty close value.


Nifty March and April 2017

Markets may be bearish from now until mid-April 2017 

Markets are expected to depict downward trend in the next 3 to 4 weeks.

We hope that you've seen an interesting bull rally as predicted in January. This bull rally was witnessed despite negative market sentiment owing to demonetisation and revised budget dates. Markets fell on day before budget but more than recovered on the budget day despite any major announcements in the budget. In addition, FIIs were net sellers in December and January. These factors indicate that there was no fundamental boost to economy for markets to rise approximately 10%. Technically, there was no evident chart pattern too for this bull rally.

The bullish prediction from mid-December until 1st week of March has yielded 9.7% return.

Our return on Nifty predictions has yielded 16.8%* return in 8 months (between July 2016 and February 2017). This is calculated on Nifty close value.


Nifty January and February 2017

Nifty expected to be bullish upto March 1st week 

Markets are expected to continue bullish trend (as witnessed in last week of December 2016) in January and February 2017. The bullish trend may continue until March 1st week.

Our last prediction on bullish second half of December was well received. This is despite an overall negative sentiment post demonetization and downtrend expected by most researchers. The market fall post 16th December was recovered in last few sessions yielding a total of 0.4% (on our research) versus 0.01% return on Nifty.

Our research on markets has yielded 8.3% absolute return versus -1.2% returns on Nifty between July and December 2016.


Nifty December 2016

Nifty is expected to be bearish in first half of December.

The trend of Nifty is expected to be bullish from December 16 onwards


Nifty November 2016

We suggest no trading due to unclear expectation of market.


Nifty October 2016

Nifty is expected to be bullish in the coming month. Some correction is exepected in the last week of October.


Nifty September 2016

Nifty is expected to witness bearish trend in September 2016.


Nifty August 2016

Nifty is expected to witness high volatility and be bearish during first 3 weeks of the month. Post August 22, Nifty may be rising until the end of the month.


Nifty July 2016

Nifty is expected to witness bullish trend alongwith high volatility in first half of the month. The market is expected to be bearish in the second half of the month.